Quick notes are short form, timely notes that talk about what’s happening at the moment. These are personal observations and notes, and hint at the things that are on my mind at the moment.
June 15th, 2024: Weekend Video Binge
Patrick Boyle is out with another great video looking at what the modern financial system has become.
December 13th, 2023: Dove
PPI came in slightly below expectations, and the Fed goes full dove.
December 12th, 2023: Rabbit’s foot
CPI came in hotter than expected, the exact opposite of what I’ve expected yesterday, yet stocks are up, and my QQQ call spreads made money. Wut?
December 11th, 2023: The Final Countdown
In just a few more hours, we’ll get the latest and final CPI print for 2023, followed 24 hours later by the final PPI print, and on the same day of the PPI print, FOMC rate decisions plus Powell press conference. The next ~40 hours is going to be very interesting indeed.
November 5, 2023: Ho ho ho!
The end of the year is upon us, and as with most years, it appears that the Santa Rally is upon us.
October 25, 2023: Earnings season
It’s earnings season again, and if you’ve read Making moves, you should know that I’m short the market since around early August. What’s next?
September 17, 2023: Weekend video binge – Patrick Boyle, Zeke Faux
If you’ve been reading my writing for a while, you’ll probably know that I am a big fan of Patrick Boyle, a hedge fund manager, college finance professor and youtuber. This week, he interviews Zeke Faux, a reporter who investigated and wrote a social historical book on the crypto scene of the past ~3 years.
August 8, 2023: Making moves
It’s early August, just one month away from the seasonally weakest month of the year for stocks, September. Time to make some moves?
July 15, 2023: Weekend video binge – Michael Cembalest
One of the other JB’s had an interview with the Chairman of Market and Investment Strategy of JPMorgan, Michael Cembalest, touching on a variety of recent themes.
June 25, 2023: Weekend video binge 2 – Economics fact check
Anyone who talks to me about finance/economics, will know very quickly that I’m a stickler for definitions. It’s really annoying (to me) when people misunderstand economic/financial terms, and then applies the finding wrongly, leading to, often, ridiculous results. In that vein, this particular video hits home, and explains why over-simplifying can be dangerous.
June 24, 2023: Weekend video binge – Step-by-step fundamental analysis
Richard over at The Plain Bagel made an excellent video about how to do fundamental analysis on a stock. Highly recommended if you are having trouble falling asleep, or are just a data nerd.
June 13, 2023: Inflation – wrap up
Almost exactly 2 years ago, I made a post about inflation at the time, with some guesses on what will happen in the 2 years hence, i.e. ending around now. Let’s see how badly I did, now that the latest inflation print is out (4% for May 2023).
June 4, 2023: Weekend video binge
Some have read the prior note, and gone away with a distinctly bearish read. Perhaps this will disabuse you of the notion.
May 31, 2023: Liquidity worries
The market has been floating on a gush of liquidity since 2009, and while the economy has grown by ~60% since then, stocks have climbed ~560% since the nadir in 2009. What happens if the liquidity spigot goes away? We may be about to find out.
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